What enthusiasts are asking

Seiko on the secondhand market

Every Seiko listing our crawlers matched to a catalog reference on r/Watchexchange and WatchUSeek. A brand moves as one cluster, so a brand cut carries much less independent information than its count suggests — which is why most brands publish a range instead of a single figure.

2026 SO FAR
+8.5%
+3.4% to +13.5%95% range
72 watches · 1,052 asks · revises monthly
In line with the index
Measured against the whole index, on the same watches in the same pass.
The whole index
+7.4%
2026 so far · 1,069 matched watches

The interval clears zero, so this cut is allowed to name a direction.

Year by year

Year by year change in asking prices, with 95% confidence intervals and the number of matched watches behind each reading.
YearChangeReading95% range
2026 so farrevises+8.5%72 watches · 1,052 asksIn line with the index+3.4% to +13.5%
2025-4.5%66 watches · 1,284 asksIn line with the index-8.3% to -0.5%
2024No clear move48 watches · 1,033 asks+6.6% vs the index-1.6% to +14.1%
2023Range only, no centre36 watches · 1,036 asks-8.4% to +0.7% vs the index-14.6% to -4.1%

Each year is compared with the one before it, over the watches listed in both. Nothing before 2022 is drawn: the older forum threads still standing are the ones nobody pruned, and the direction of that bias is unknown.

The closing-ask cross-check

No clear move-0.7% to +11.3%2026 so far · 48 watches · 543 asks

A second panel, built separately from the last price a seller asked before their listing closed. A closed listing may have been withdrawn rather than bought, so this is never a sale price and the two panels are never blended.

The panel

Asking prices
1,052
against 870 a year earlier
Watches
72
listed in both years
Brands
1
in the panel
Turnover
19%
of the panel is different watches than last year

One vote per watch, never weighted by price. A dollar-weighted index of this panel would just be a tracker for whichever brand lists the most expensive watches.

Browse these watches

Catalog pages, not the index panel. The figures above are the panel’s; these are the watches in the same group.

Other brands

One brand moves as one cluster, so most brand cuts publish a range rather than a number.

Every other cut

How this is measured

These are asking prices, not sale prices. A sale price is never observed here. Both panels are published separately and are never blended.

Matched model. A year’s change is the average change across watches listed in both that year and the one before, one vote per watch.

It follows the same watches getting older. A matched-model index of used goods carries some drift from age alone, and that drift is not measured out. Read it as what an owner holding these watches saw, not as what a model is worth new.

Full methodology · Disclosures