What enthusiasts are asking

Watches under $500 on the secondhand market

A watch lands in this band because of what it goes for on the secondhand market. That is also why there is no list of watches on this page: naming them would publish each one's market price.

2026 SO FAR
+7.3%
+3.9% to +10.6%95% range
430 watches · 2,599 asks · 90 brands · revises monthly
In line with the index
Measured against the whole index, on the same watches in the same pass.
The whole index
+6.9%
2026 so far · 1,281 matched watches

The interval clears zero, so this cut is allowed to name a direction.

Year by year

Year by year change in asking prices, with 95% confidence intervals and the number of matched watches behind each reading.
YearChangeReading95% range
2026 so farrevises+7.3%430 watches · 2,599 asks · 90 brandsIn line with the index+3.9% to +10.6%
2025No clear move343 watches · 2,324 asks · 77 brandsIn line with the index-2.2% to +4.9%
2024No clear move280 watches · 1,858 asks · 72 brandsIn line with the index-5.4% to +1.7%
2023No clear move215 watches · 1,825 asks · 58 brands+3.5% vs the index-4.4% to +4.1%

Each year is compared with the one before it, over the watches listed in both. Nothing before 2022 is drawn: the older forum threads still standing are the ones nobody pruned, and the direction of that bias is unknown.

The closing-ask cross-check

+7.3%+3.2% to +13.2%2026 so far · 206 watches · 1,129 asks · 48 brands

A second panel, built separately from the last price a seller asked before their listing closed. A listing may close because it was withdrawn or because it sold, so the two panels are published separately and never blended.

The panel

Asking prices
2,599
against 2,146 a year earlier
Watches
430
listed in both years
Brands
90
largest is 12% of it
Turnover
38%
of the panel is different watches than last year

One vote per watch, whatever its price. A dollar-weighted index of this panel would just track whichever brand lists the most expensive watches.

Why there is no list of watches here

A watch lands in a price band because of what it goes for on the secondhand market. Naming the watches in a band would publish each one’s market price, so the reading above covers the whole band.

Other price bands

Bands are set from each watch's own market price.

Every other cut

How this is measured

These are asking prices. A sale price is never observed here. Both panels are published separately and are never blended.

Matched model. A year’s change is the average change across watches listed in both that year and the one before, one vote per watch.

It follows the same watches getting older. A matched-model index of used goods carries some drift from age alone, and that drift stays in the figure. Read it as what an owner holding these watches saw.

Full methodology · Disclosures