What enthusiasts are asking

Watches under 38mm on the secondhand market

Grouped by measured case diameter, the number from the catalog spec. Case size is the single most-searched spec on this site, and this is what the band did as a group.

2026 SO FAR
+6.6%
+1.9% to +10.9%95% range
165 watches · 1,535 asks · 55 brands · revises monthly
In line with the index
Measured against the whole index, on the same watches in the same pass.
The whole index
+6.9%
2026 so far · 1,281 matched watches

The interval clears zero, so this cut is allowed to name a direction.

Year by year

Year by year change in asking prices, with 95% confidence intervals and the number of matched watches behind each reading.
YearChangeReading95% range
2026 so farrevises+6.6%165 watches · 1,535 asks · 55 brandsIn line with the index+1.9% to +10.9%
2025No clear move130 watches · 1,155 asks · 42 brandsIn line with the index-5.3% to +5.4%
2024No clear move101 watches · 857 asks · 36 brandsIn line with the index-5.2% to +5.2%
2023No clear move69 watches · 628 asks · 29 brandsIn line with the index-12.2% to +3.3%

Each year is compared with the one before it, over the watches listed in both. Nothing before 2022 is drawn: the older forum threads still standing are the ones nobody pruned, and the direction of that bias is unknown.

The closing-ask cross-check

No clear move-2.1% to +12.3%2026 so far · 84 watches · 520 asks · 34 brands

A second panel, built separately from the last price a seller asked before their listing closed. A listing may close because it was withdrawn or because it sold, so the two panels are published separately and never blended.

The panel

Asking prices
1,535
against 969 a year earlier
Watches
165
listed in both years
Brands
55
largest is 9% of it
Turnover
29%
of the panel is different watches than last year

One vote per watch, whatever its price. A dollar-weighted index of this panel would just track whichever brand lists the most expensive watches.

Browse these watches

Wrist-fit calculator

Catalog pages for the watches in the same group. The figures above belong to the index panel.

Other case sizes

Measured case diameter, in three bands.

38mm to 41mm726 matched+7.9%42mm and up384 matched+5.2%

Every other cut

By brandBy kind of watchBy priceBy movementBy availability

How this is measured

These are asking prices. A sale price is never observed here. Both panels are published separately and are never blended.

Matched model. A year’s change is the average change across watches listed in both that year and the one before, one vote per watch.

It follows the same watches getting older. A matched-model index of used goods carries some drift from age alone, and that drift stays in the figure. Read it as what an owner holding these watches saw.

Full methodology · Disclosures